Monday 16 July 2012

Is property appreciation in Kerala - A myth or a reality?



We have heard of news and read articles about property appreciation in Kerala in the last decade. The forecasted appreciation for real estate is about 20 to 30% CAGR in the next ten years or so. Courtesy Skyline builders, we now have some real statistics to show in terms of property appreciation in Kerala. Skyline is a reputed builder with a good history of completing projects on time. You can read about all their project appreciations here: Skyline appreciation chart

Our key takeaways from this data:

1. You should not look at the % values of appreciation in itself because they would draw a wrong picture. % values would depend on project location, new developments in the area, demand supply mismatch in terms of real estate buying etc.

2. On an average projects which are 5 years old in Kochi have seen a price increase of 2.5X i.e a CAGR of about 20% annually. CAGR is the cumulative average of the annual growth rates.

3. On an average projects which are 10 years old in Kochi have seen a price increase of about 4X i.e. a CAGR of 14% annually. Some projects like Crystal waters show a 10X growth or a CAGR of 25% annually.

4. On an average projects which are 20 years old in Kochi have seen a price increase of 7.5 to 8X i.e a CAGR of 11% annually.

As you would see in Skyline's data the same may not apply to cities like Kozhikode or Kannur. The projection we could derive from this for investors looking to exit properties in a period of about 6 years is that they could estimate about a 20% annual growth in Kochi or Trivandrum. If you can stay invested for a decade you would get about 14% annual returns which is twice as much as you can get from government bonds or PPFs.To put this into perspective a 30 lac property will fetch you 1 crore 11 Lacs with a 14% return in 10 years and a 30 Lac property will fetch you about 90 lacs in a period of 6 years with a 20% growth rate. 

Also to keep in mind is the fact choice of property is crucial : a good choice could may make a difference in value of 2X over a period of 10 years. For more on choosing you property you can approach our experts via www.nandanamconsultants.in

Skyline Projects in Kochi

Appreciation Table

SI. No. Name of the Project Year Sold Price/Sq.Ft* Current Price/Sq.Ft* % of Appreciation Current Rental Value
1 Mansion 1989 375 3000 800% 5,500
2 Habitat 1990 4500 15,000
3 Springfield 1991 400 4200 1050% 12,000
4 Belair 1992 650 3800 585% 10,000
5 Green Valley 1992 1250 9000 720% 16,000
6 Marble Arch 1993 650 3200 492% 7,500
7 Queens Park 1993 615 9000 1463% 7,500
8 City Park - Oakwood 1994 950 3800 400% 11,000
9 Crystal Waters I 1994 950 9000 947% 8,500
10 Green Woods 1995 1350 10000 741% 18,000
11 Triton 1996 1100 7000 636% 25,000
12 City Park -Silver Oak 1996 950 3900 411% 11,000
13 Autumn Woods 1998 1450 12000 828% 20,000
14 Daffodils 1999 925 3000 324% 5,000
15 Green Valley 1992 1250 3700 828% 20,000
16 City Park -Pinewood 2000 950 3900 411% 11,000
17 Crystal Waters II 2000 950 9000 947% 8,500
18 Rosemount Homes 2000 1325 4200 317% 7,000
19 Ebony Woods 2002 1425 8800 618% 16,000
20 Emerald 2002 1450 4500 310% 13000
21 Tulip 2002 1050 3200 305% 6,000
22 Elysium Gardens 2002 1495 12000 803% 20,000
23 Marigold 2003 1070 3200 299% 6,000
24 Gateway 2003 1050 4000 381% 7,000
25 Solitaire 2003 1250 4550 364% 11,000
26 Florento 2004 1190 3200 269% 7,000
27 Homestead 2004 1490 6500 436% 16,000
28 Amity Park 2004 1390 4200 302% 16,000
29 Platinum 2004 1750 5000 286% 18,000
30 Orion Villas 2004 1650 12000 727% 25,000
31 Zircon 2005 1450 4000 276% 14,000
32 Opal Arch 2005 1450 3800 262% 12,500
33 Royale 2005 1890 4500 238% 20,000
34 Aster 2005 1325 3500 264% 10,000
35 Legacy 2005 1650 4200 255% 15,000
36 Melrose 2005 1450 3800 262% 10,000
37 Primrose 2005 1490 3400 228% 9,000
38 Orion I 2005 1450 4500 310% 13,000
39 Templeton 2005 1750 4200 240% 14,000
40 Topaz 2005 1675 5500 328% 20,000
41 Orion II 2005 1600 4500 281% 13,000
42 Riverscape 2006 2170 3300 152% 12,500
43 Palmshade 2006 1600 4500 281% 16,000
44 Lavender 2007 2250 3600 160% 11,000
45 Eminence 2011 3500 4250 121% 15,000
46 Imperial Garden 2011 4200 5000 119% 20,000
* Sold Price, Revised Price and Current Market Price are per sq.ft.

Skyline in Trivandrum: 

Appreciation Table

Name of the Project Year Price/Sq.Ft* Current Price/Sq.Ft* % of Appreciation Current Rental
Value

Domain 2007 1950 5000 256% 30000

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